Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG89086
POELE A FRIRE ANTIADHESIVE 22 CM - TOP HOME
longtail
1P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 80.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
29
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
29
≈ 170.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 44
avg of last 20 sells · latest 2026-07-28
AAAAG89086
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
POELE A FRIRE ANTIADHESIVE 22 CM - TOP HOME · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -80.0% · on-hand 29 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (980 days of history, 20 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.75 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 27.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.7K |