Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAAG87344
Planche à Découper avec Boîte de Rangement – 36 × 20,5 × 4,5 cm
longtail
1P
DECOUPE DES ALIMENTS
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
18
▼ 21.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 16
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAG87344
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 173 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Planche à Découper avec Boîte de Rangement – 36 × 20,5 × 4,5 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 18 units, trending down -21.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (875 days of history, 127 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.99 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 18 units · prev 4w = 23 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 8.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 23.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 48.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 24.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 73.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 173.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.7K |