Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG82715
Set de 3 Boîtes Alimentaires Hermétiques - 550 ml, 1,2 L et 1,75 L - Plastique
longtail
1P + 3P
REPAS NOMADE
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▲ 77.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
82
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
48
≈ 48.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 33
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAAAG82715
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 165 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Set de 3 Boîtes Alimentaires Hermétiques - 550 ml, 1,2 L et 1,75 L - Plastique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending up +77.8% · on-hand 48 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (945 days of history, 133 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.01 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 8.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 30.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 81.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 14.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 57.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 165.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.5K |