Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG82630
Légumier - FAMILY 3 NIVEAU - Plastique - Blanc- Compartiments spacieux
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 25.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
25
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
25
≈ 158.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 71
avg of last 19 sells · latest 2026-10-03
AAAAG82630
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-12 · Total forecast: 100 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Légumier - FAMILY 3 NIVEAU - Plastique - Blanc- Compartiments spacieux · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -25.0% · on-hand 25 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (882 days of history, 18 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.50 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 5.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 100.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.1K |