Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG82629
Panier - Rétro 15L - Couleur aléatoire - Matériaux de qualité - Pratique et décoratif
longtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
30
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
11
≈ 6.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 28
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-24
AAAAG82629
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 150 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Panier - Rétro 15L - Couleur aléatoire - Matériaux de qualité - Pratique et décoratif · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 11 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (728 days of history, 180 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.17 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 15.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 64.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 32.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 149.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.2K |