Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG78213
Oreiller - RICHBOND - Impérial - 70 cm x 45 cm - Anti-allergique - Confort médium
hero
1P
LINGE DE LIT
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
26
▼ 42.2% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+188.9%
vs same 4w last year (9 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 58
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAG78213
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 307 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Oreiller - RICHBOND - Impérial - 70 cm x 45 cm - Anti-allergique - Confort médium · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 26 units, trending down -42.2% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (952 days of history, 1,606 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.31 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 26 units · prev 4w = 45 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 30.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 80.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 17.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 100.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 307.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 18.0K |