Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG70923
Eau Micellaire - Garnier - Fast Clear - 400ML - Anti-Acné - Acide Salicylique - Sans Parfum
midtail
1P + 3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
21
▲ 250.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
64
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 50
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAAG70923
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 143 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Eau Micellaire - Garnier - Fast Clear - 400ML - Anti-Acné - Acide Salicylique - Sans Parfum · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 21 units, trending up +250.0% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1022 days of history, 197 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.60 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 21 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 21.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 71.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 40.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 143.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.1K |