Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG70136
Biosanté Tisane régime perte de poids brule graisse coupe faim naturel - 20 sachets
longtail
3P
CAFE THE ET INFUSION
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
9
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 36
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-01-21
AAAAG70136
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 63 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Biosanté Tisane régime perte de poids brule graisse coupe faim naturel - 20 sachets · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (924 days of history, 14 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 20.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 63.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.3K |