Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAG68177
Manette Bluetooth sans fil Gamepad compatible avec Playstation 3 PS3 - Ordinateur PC - TV Box - Smart TV
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRES JEUX VIDEO - ACCESSOIRES CONSOLE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 15.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-45.0%
vs same 4w last year (20 units)
Current stock
254
≈ 87.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 78
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAAAG68177
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 120 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Manette Bluetooth sans fil Gamepad compatible avec Playstation 3 PS3 - Ordinateur PC - TV Box - Smart TV · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -15.4% · on-hand 254 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (903 days of history, 225 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.83 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 13.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 39.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 120.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.4K |