Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAF96779
Couvre Pare-brise Parapluie pliable
longtail
3P
CONFORT CONDUCTEUR ET PASSAGER
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
912
≈ 597.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 56
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-24
AAAAF96779
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 132 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Couvre Pare-brise Parapluie pliable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 912 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (924 days of history, 24 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.06 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 26.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 132.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.4K |