Demand Forecast

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HERÔME – Vernis Durcisseur 4-en-1 à Séchage Rapide = Soin Fortifiant pour Ongles Fragiles
SKU · AAAAF52182

HERÔME – Vernis Durcisseur 4-en-1 à Séchage Rapide = Soin Fortifiant pour Ongles Fragiles

midtail 1P ONGLERIE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

7
▼ 30.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

82
≈ 22.5 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 180
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

AAAAF52182

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 116 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

HERÔME – Vernis Durcisseur 4-en-1 à Séchage Rapide = Soin Fortifiant pour Ongles Fragiles · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -30.0% · on-hand 82 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (1008 days of history, 260 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.20 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 10 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks12.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months36.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week7.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)35.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)115.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 20.8K