Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAAAF29204
Spirit – Magnésium Marin avec Vitamines B6 & B12, 30 Gélules
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 72.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
41
≈ 39.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 51
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAAAF29204
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Spirit – Magnésium Marin avec Vitamines B6 & B12, 30 Gélules · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -72.7% · on-hand 41 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (973 days of history, 104 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.12 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 18.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.1K |