Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
Magic Hose Tuyau Magique Extensible pour Arrosage et Lavage 30 Mètres
SKU · AAAAF28037

Magic Hose Tuyau Magique Extensible pour Arrosage et Lavage 30 Mètres

longtail 3P ARROSAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

7
≈ 5.1 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 74
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAAAF28037

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 46 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Magic Hose Tuyau Magique Extensible pour Arrosage et Lavage 30 Mètres · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, stable demand · on-hand 7 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1008 days of history, 36 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months13.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week3.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)13.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)46.0 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.4K