Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAF21084
Savon noir - BIOPROGREEN - 1kg - Bois de Oud - Sans alcool - Pour femme
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
198
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 11
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-30
AAAAF21084
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 128 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Savon noir - BIOPROGREEN - 1kg - Bois de Oud - Sans alcool - Pour femme · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 198 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (903 days of history, 46 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.26 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 33.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 128.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.4K |