Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAE94605
Épilateur - KEMEI - KM-189A - USB Rechargeable - Épilation Électrique - Pratique et Indolore
midtail
3P
BEAUTE - BIEN-ETRE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
36
▼ 57.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-64.7%
vs same 4w last year (102 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 93
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAE94605
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 517 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Épilateur - KEMEI - KM-189A - USB Rechargeable - Épilation Électrique - Pratique et Indolore · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 36 units, trending down -57.1% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (889 days of history, 390 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.38 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 36 units · prev 4w = 84 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 23.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 68.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 140.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 45.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 216.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 517.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 10.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 47.9K |