Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAE72674
Liqui Moly Top Tec 4100 5W-40 5L - Huile pour moteur Essence et Diesel
longtail
3P
NETTOYAGE - LIQUIDES ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 500.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+50.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
3
≈ 2.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 380
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-11
AAAAE72674
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 47 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Liqui Moly Top Tec 4100 5W-40 5L - Huile pour moteur Essence et Diesel · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +500.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (945 days of history, 47 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.20 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 14.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 2.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 12.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 46.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 17.7K |