Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAE71162
LISTERINE BAIN DE BOUCHE FRAICHEUR SANS ALCOOL 250ML
longtail
3P
DENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 87.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
382
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 6
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAAE71162
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 171 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
LISTERINE BAIN DE BOUCHE FRAICHEUR SANS ALCOOL 250ML · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -87.2% · on-hand 396 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (987 days of history, 148 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.76 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 39 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 16.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 66.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 40.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 171.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 950 |