Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAE70372
JUST Multi-Peptides pour les Cheveux
hero
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
29
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+3.6%
vs same 4w last year (28 units)
Current stock
337
≈ 43.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 68
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAE70372
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 370 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
JUST Multi-Peptides pour les Cheveux · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 29 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 337 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1015 days of history, 673 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 29 units · prev 4w = 58 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 10.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 45.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 123.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 20.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 114.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 370.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 9.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.3K |