Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAE70372
JUST Multi-Peptides pour les Cheveux
hero
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
26
▼ 29.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
52
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 68
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAAE70372
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 363 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
JUST Multi-Peptides pour les Cheveux · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 26 units, trending down -29.7% · on-hand 70 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1071 days of history, 669 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.87 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 26 units · prev 4w = 37 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 10.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 45.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 202.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 16.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 75.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 362.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 10.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 24.6K |