Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAD84398
Pack Promo Herbal Essences à la Mangue et Aloe Shampoing - 400ml + Après-Shampoing - 400ml
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 33.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+300.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 77
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAAAD84398
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 54 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack Promo Herbal Essences à la Mangue et Aloe Shampoing - 400ml + Après-Shampoing - 400ml · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +33.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1043 days of history, 38 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 15.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 54.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.2K |