Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAD81844
Tablette à dessin LCD pour enfants, outils de peinture, tableau d'écriture électronique, jouets pour garçons, enfant , 8.5 pouces
midtail
3P
PERIPHERIQUE PC
Last 4 weeks demand
2
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
-66.7%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)
Current stock
1
≈ 0.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 22
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-30
AAAAD81844
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 219 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tablette à dessin LCD pour enfants, outils de peinture, tableau d'écriture électronique, jouets pour garçons, enfant , 8.5 pouces · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, stable demand · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (980 days of history, 42 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.80 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 7.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 33.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 44.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 218.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.8K |