Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAC34673
Sac à dos - Lenovo B210 - ECO -- 16 pouces - Polyester - Noir
hero
1P + 3P
MAROQUINERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
109
▲ 14.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
492
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
408
≈ 26.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 129
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AAAAC34673
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 1398 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac à dos - Lenovo B210 - ECO -- 16 pouces - Polyester - Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 109 units, trending up +14.7% · on-hand 408 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1183 days of history, 1,212 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.59 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 109 units · prev 4w = 95 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 450.9 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 25.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 21.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 104.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 1397.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 20.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 180.2K |