Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAC34673
Sac à dos - Lenovo B210 - ECO -- 16 pouces - Polyester - Noir
hero
1P + 3P
MAROQUINERIE
Last 4 weeks demand
32
▼ 53.6% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
234
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
139
≈ 9.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 159
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAAC34673
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 414 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac à dos - Lenovo B210 - ECO -- 16 pouces - Polyester - Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 32 units, trending down -53.6% · on-hand 139 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1120 days of history, 1,127 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.66 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 32 units · prev 4w = 69 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 14.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 57.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 220.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 24.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 93.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 413.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 11.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 65.6K |