Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAC29036
Calculatrice Scientifique - CASIO - FX-991ES Plus 2nd édition - LCD haute résolution - 417 Fonctions - Noir
longtail
3P
PETIT MATERIEL
Last 4 weeks demand
48
▲ 220.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+45.5%
vs same 4w last year (33 units)
Current stock
143
≈ 67.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 118
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAAC29036
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 135 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Calculatrice Scientifique - CASIO - FX-991ES Plus 2nd édition - LCD haute résolution - 417 Fonctions - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 48 units, trending up +220.0% · on-hand 143 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1064 days of history, 231 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.15 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 48 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 15.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 45.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 42.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 134.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.0K |