Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAB95654
Manette sans fil - Dualshock 4 - Noir - Compatible PS4
hero
3P
ACCESSOIRES JEUX VIDEO - ACCESSOIRES CONSOLE
Last 4 weeks demand
23
▼ 25.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-46.5%
vs same 4w last year (43 units)
Current stock
443
≈ 42.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 134
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAAB95654
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 272 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Manette sans fil - Dualshock 4 - Noir - Compatible PS4 · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 23 units, trending down -25.8% · on-hand 443 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (854 days of history, 704 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 23 units · prev 4w = 31 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 6.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 29.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 79.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 88.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 271.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 36.3K |