Demand Forecast

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Air Monster - Mini Ventilateur Posable - 14W 15719 - Couleur Aléatoire
SKU · AAAAB89258

Air Monster - Mini Ventilateur Posable - 14W 15719 - Couleur Aléatoire

longtail 3P TRAITEMENT DE L AIR
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

-88.9%
vs same 4w last year (9 units)

Current stock

174
≈ 145.2 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 101
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-22

AAAAB89258

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 129 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Air Monster - Mini Ventilateur Posable - 14W 15719 - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 174 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (735 days of history, 36 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 2.35 — high (lumpy)
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks6.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months26.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)27.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)129.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 13.0K