Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAB16073
Cartouche de toner HP Compatible CE285A / CE278A / CB435A / CB436A / 85A / 78A / 35A / 36A
longtail
3P
IMPRESSION - SCANNER
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
493
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 87
avg of last 21 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAAAB16073
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 58 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cartouche de toner HP Compatible CE285A / CE278A / CB435A / CB436A / 85A / 78A / 35A / 36A · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 493 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (854 days of history, 7 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 58.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.1K |