Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA88900-0005
pack de 3 long boxers
longtail
3P
SOUS-VETEMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 57.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
20
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 64
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AAAAA88900-0005
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 59 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
pack de 3 long boxers · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -57.1% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1064 days of history, 38 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 22.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 59.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.8K |