Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA87726
Audífonos Auriculares Bluetooth Inalámbricos P9
midtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 55.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-71.4%
vs same 4w last year (14 units)
Current stock
878
≈ 150.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 35
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAAA87726
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 124 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Audífonos Auriculares Bluetooth Inalámbricos P9 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -55.6% · on-hand 878 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (924 days of history, 255 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.15 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 35.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 124.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.4K |