Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA81266
Tondeuse HTC AT-179 Rasoir cheveux et moustache
longtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 27.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+166.7%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
2,012
≈ 1454.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 94
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAAA81266
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 68 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse HTC AT-179 Rasoir cheveux et moustache · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -27.3% · on-hand 2012 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1106 days of history, 90 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.79 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 7.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 24.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 68.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.4K |