Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA79731
HX NUTRITION - Créatine Monohydrate - 300gr
hero
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
62
▲ 129.6% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
4
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 159
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
AAAAA79731
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 345 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
HX NUTRITION - Créatine Monohydrate - 300gr · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 62 units, trending up +129.6% · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1057 days of history, 822 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 62 units · prev 4w = 27 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 11.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 45.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 180.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 20.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 84.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 345.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 55.0K |