Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA79731
HX NUTRITION - Créatine Monohydrate - 300gr
hero
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▼ 87.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-85.7%
vs same 4w last year (56 units)
Current stock
33
≈ 3.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 164
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
AAAAA79731
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 313 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
HX NUTRITION - Créatine Monohydrate - 300gr · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending down -87.7% · on-hand 33 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1001 days of history, 801 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 65 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 10.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 45.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 107.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 27.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 123.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 312.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 8.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 51.3K |