Demand Forecast

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Gel douche - LE PETIT MARSEILLAIS - Fleur d'oranger - 650ml - Hydratant - Doux
SKU · AAAAA78943

Gel douche - LE PETIT MARSEILLAIS - Fleur d'oranger - 650ml - Hydratant - Doux

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

2
▼ 95.6% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

96
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 28
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-22

AAAAA78943

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 132 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Gel douche - LE PETIT MARSEILLAIS - Fleur d'oranger - 650ml - Hydratant - Doux · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -95.6% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (826 days of history, 173 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.14 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 45 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week3.4 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks15.6 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months60.7 units
Optimistic — next week7.2 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)33.1 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)131.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.7
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.7K