Demand Forecast

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Fil Dentaire Oralex – Ciré & Fraîcheur Menthol 30 m
SKU · AAAAA78918

Fil Dentaire Oralex – Ciré & Fraîcheur Menthol 30 m

longtail 1P DENTAIRE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

7
▼ 22.2% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (7 units)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 19
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

AAAAA78918

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Fil Dentaire Oralex – Ciré & Fraîcheur Menthol 30 m · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -22.2% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (973 days of history, 150 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 9 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.2 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months26.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)25.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)68.6 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 1.3K