Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA78909
Brosse à dents triple protection medium - SIGNAL
longtail
1P
DENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 150.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
88
Σ Stock across 7 live offers
1P stock
14
≈ 19.8 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-25
AAAAA78909
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Brosse à dents triple protection medium - SIGNAL · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +150.0% · on-hand 14 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (770 days of history, 30 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 17.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 60.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 597 |