Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA77494
Casque Bluetooth sans fil P9 avec micro - Bleu
hero
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
8
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
9,992
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAAA77494
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 361 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque Bluetooth sans fil P9 avec micro - Bleu · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 8 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 9993 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1183 days of history, 949 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.44 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 8 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 23.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 133.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 55.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 360.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.4K |