Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA77494
Casque Bluetooth sans fil P9 avec micro - Bleu
hero
3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 80.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-60.0%
vs same 4w last year (10 units)
Current stock
10,000
≈ 1026.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 37
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAA77494
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 207 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque Bluetooth sans fil P9 avec micro - Bleu · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -80.0% · on-hand 10000 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1113 days of history, 952 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.41 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 20 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 21.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 67.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 68.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 207.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.6K |