Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA75564
CHRISTELLE PARIS Serum Vitamine C anti Rides - Femme & Homme - 30ml MULTICOLORE
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
25
▲ 38.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
910
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAAA75564
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 361 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CHRISTELLE PARIS Serum Vitamine C anti Rides - Femme & Homme - 30ml MULTICOLORE · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 25 units, trending up +38.9% · on-hand 910 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1141 days of history, 543 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.23 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 25 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 9.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 40.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 160.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 75.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 361.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.1K |