Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA70021
Svr Topialyse Huile lavante 1L
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 7.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
63
Σ Stock across 11 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 163
avg of last 12 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAAAA70021
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Svr Topialyse Huile lavante 1L · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -7.7% · on-hand 63 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1057 days of history, 33 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.60 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |