Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA69976
Lotion hydratante - Cetaphil - 236 ml - Pour tous types de peau - Absorption rapide - Non grasse
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 86.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-94.1%
vs same 4w last year (34 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 98
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAA69976
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 109 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lotion hydratante - Cetaphil - 236 ml - Pour tous types de peau - Absorption rapide - Non grasse · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -86.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (987 days of history, 276 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 15 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 13.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 37.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 109.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.7K |