Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA69976
Lotion hydratante - Cetaphil - 236 ml - Pour tous types de peau - Absorption rapide - Non grasse
midtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
230
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 92
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAAA69976
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 156 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lotion hydratante - Cetaphil - 236 ml - Pour tous types de peau - Absorption rapide - Non grasse · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, stable demand · on-hand 246 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1057 days of history, 258 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 15.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 70.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 155.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 14.3K |