Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA68679
Déodorant Femme - NIVEA - Pearl & Beauty - Spray 200ml - Protection 48h - Sans alcool - Extraits de perles
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
vs same 4w last year (0 units)
Current stock
306
≈ 506.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 27
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAA68679
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 76 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Déodorant Femme - NIVEA - Pearl & Beauty - Spray 200ml - Protection 48h - Sans alcool - Extraits de perles · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 306 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (931 days of history, 27 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 27.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 76.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.1K |