Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA68641
On Call Plus – Bandelettes de Test Glycémie – Boîte de 50
midtail
3P
DIAGNOSTIC - EXAMEN
Last 4 weeks demand
12
▼ 64.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+20.0%
vs same 4w last year (10 units)
Current stock
601
≈ 164.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 76
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAA68641
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 165 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
On Call Plus – Bandelettes de Test Glycémie – Boîte de 50 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 12 units, trending down -64.7% · on-hand 601 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1043 days of history, 168 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.75 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 12 units · prev 4w = 34 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 19.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 54.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 12.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 58.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 164.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.6K |