Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA68635
Bandelettes de Test de Glycémie VIVACHEK Ino - Boîte de 25 Unités
longtail
3P
DIAGNOSTIC - EXAMEN
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 44.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+400.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
190
≈ 98.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 54
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAAA68635
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 144 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Bandelettes de Test de Glycémie VIVACHEK Ino - Boîte de 25 Unités · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -44.4% · on-hand 190 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1050 days of history, 181 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.87 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 17.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 44.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 144.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.8K |