Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA47936
8 in 1 Station d'accueil USB Type C SD / Micro, port HDMI 4k pour ordinateur portable, adaptateur pour Macbook
longtail
3P
CONNECTIQUE - ALIMENTATION
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
1
≈ 2.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 173
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-21
AAAAA47936
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 33 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
8 in 1 Station d'accueil USB Type C SD / Micro, port HDMI 4k pour ordinateur portable, adaptateur pour Macbook · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1148 days of history, 8 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.15 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 13.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 8.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 32.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.7K |