Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA47935
Mini localisateur GPS carte SIM (Non incluse) pour véhicule puissant magnétique - Anti-Perte
longtail
3P
GPS
Last 4 weeks demand
4
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
5
≈ 3.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 96
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AAAAA47935
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mini localisateur GPS carte SIM (Non incluse) pour véhicule puissant magnétique - Anti-Perte · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 5 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (938 days of history, 97 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 26.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 68.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.6K |