Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA44513
Couches Bébé - Dodot - Bebe Seco - Taille 3 (6-10kg) - 62 unités - Hypoallergénique
longtail
3P
HYGIENE BEBE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
34
Σ Stock across 3 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 155
avg of last 17 sells · latest 2026-04-30
AAAAA44513
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 40 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Couches Bébé - Dodot - Bebe Seco - Taille 3 (6-10kg) - 62 unités - Hypoallergénique · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 34 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (721 days of history, 9 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.33 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 10.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 39.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.2K |