Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA44500
Oral B Brosse à Dents Électrique Vitality Rose - 1 unité
midtail
3P
SANTE - HYGIENE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 77.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
68
Σ Stock across 6 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 190
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-31
AAAAA44500
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 142 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Oral B Brosse à Dents Électrique Vitality Rose - 1 unité · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -77.3% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1015 days of history, 168 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 75.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 142.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 26.9K |