Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA44498
Dentifrice - CREST - 3D White - Blancheur Pearl Glow - 75ml - Micro-blanchissants
longtail
1P + 3P
DENTAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
66
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
7
≈ 8.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 27
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
AAAAA44498
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 67 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Dentifrice - CREST - 3D White - Blancheur Pearl Glow - 75ml - Micro-blanchissants · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +66.7% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (707 days of history, 48 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.95 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 30.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 67.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.8K |