Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA40864
Ultra Doux Hair Food - Masque nourissant au beurre de cacao pour cheveux bouclés - 390ml
midtail
1P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 63.2% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-36.4%
vs same 4w last year (11 units)
Current stock
1
≈ 0.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 70
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAAA40864
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 217 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ultra Doux Hair Food - Masque nourissant au beurre de cacao pour cheveux bouclés - 390ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -63.2% · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1155 days of history, 220 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 19 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 20.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 65.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 61.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 216.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.3K |