Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA38722
Serviette de bain - Damas - Blanc - 70x140 cm - 500g - 100% coton naturel
longtail
3P
LINGE DE TOILETTE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 300.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
21
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 76
avg of last 18 sells · latest 2026-09-23
AAAAA38722
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 41 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Serviette de bain - Damas - Blanc - 70x140 cm - 500g - 100% coton naturel · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +300.0% · on-hand 29 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1169 days of history, 41 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.16 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 2.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 6.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 40.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.1K |