Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA38701
Lisseur à cheveux HS-371 85W rose silicone - DENWA
longtail
1P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 500.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 152
avg of last 25 sells · latest 2025-01-11
AAAAA38701
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lisseur à cheveux HS-371 85W rose silicone - DENWA · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +500.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (728 days of history, 7 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | — units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |