Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA38522
Souris sans fil - CITYTEK - MF109088 - 4 boutons - DPI 1000/1200/1600 - Couleur aléatoire
longtail
1P + 3P
CLAVIER - SOURIS - WEBCAM
Last 4 weeks demand
37
▲ 8.8% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
95
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
38
≈ 32.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27
AAAAA38522
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 139 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Souris sans fil - CITYTEK - MF109088 - 4 boutons - DPI 1000/1200/1600 - Couleur aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 37 units, trending up +8.8% · on-hand 38 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1050 days of history, 104 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.30 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 37 units · prev 4w = 34 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 37.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 23.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 138.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.7K |