Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA38510
Casque bluetooth SD FM RADIO MF109073 - CITYTEK
longtail
1P + 3P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▲ 325.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
18
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
18
≈ 10.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 74
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAAA38510
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 170 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque bluetooth SD FM RADIO MF109073 - CITYTEK · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending up +325.0% · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1204 days of history, 158 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 7.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 26.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 81.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 51.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 169.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.5K |