Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAAA38509
Casque bluetooth MF016013 - CITYTEK
longtail
1P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▲ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
19
Σ Stock across 8 live offers
1P stock
18
≈ 18.0 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 103
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-28
AAAAA38509
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 53 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque bluetooth MF016013 - CITYTEK · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending up +66.7% · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (959 days of history, 27 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 53.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.5K |